Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 47.672596 54.977244 62.514600 70.836562 79.732209 88.924030 99.108007
2026-02-01 36.057794 46.289615 57.420573 70.273648 84.563189 99.835756 117.271605
2026-02-08 29.372908 41.089916 54.365169 70.194716 88.266763 108.006038 130.961136
2026-02-15 23.887293 36.424321 51.198256 69.339237 90.535302 114.113316 141.948545
2026-02-22 20.499311 33.782520 49.980776 70.358647 94.610415 121.969813 154.637242
2026-03-01 17.880760 31.757051 49.227867 71.686783 98.842843 129.843684 167.206974
2026-03-08 14.744269 28.658851 46.842196 70.785362 100.234919 134.275171 175.699996
2026-03-15 11.849780 25.517168 44.117783 69.227665 100.645179 137.404855 182.556024
2026-03-22 10.982388 25.203621 45.035858 72.194656 106.503015 146.914620 196.801802
2026-03-29 9.761245 24.196484 44.913344 73.749604 110.567984 154.256061 208.483889
2026-04-05 8.046476 22.174761 43.236370 73.165053 111.886622 158.246073 216.169990
2026-04-12 6.591117 20.360150 41.705724 72.660243 113.218016 162.185600 223.743072
2026-04-19 5.529235 19.090667 40.895235 73.091771 115.741443 167.605278 233.140633
2026-04-26 4.371898 17.424555 39.369758 72.464235 116.852890 171.266502 240.417508
2026-05-03 3.497779 16.132906 38.306432 72.393875 118.622932 175.691673 248.576020
2026-05-10 2.621354 14.599615 36.736103 71.521976 119.282674 178.697337 254.985337
2026-05-17 2.169019 13.948372 36.534522 72.559131 122.425517 184.772088 265.102818
2026-05-24 1.818729 13.464595 36.568592 73.909737 125.967776 191.337745 275.815278
2026-05-31 1.258212 12.156152 35.096511 72.993057 126.437476 194.015767 281.760735
2026-06-07 0.760441 10.705685 33.236449 71.408763 125.942409 195.428553 286.118010
2026-06-14 0.716528 10.939088 34.433274 74.426185 131.696377 204.771044 300.233005
2026-06-21 0.573088 10.678868 34.691887 76.007187 135.486498 211.616067 311.275366
2026-06-28 0.330888 9.718877 33.557808 75.412871 136.268238 214.606089 317.546465